Bitcoin’s path to $100,000 hangs in a delicate balance as the coin faces a crucial test of support levels, based on an analysis by Rekt Capital. In their latest newsletter, the analyst provides insight into Bitcoin’s current market position and potential recovery scenarios.
What you'll learn 👉
Critical BTC Support Level Under Test
According to Rekt Capital’s analysis, Bitcoin is currently testing a critical support level at $91,000, marking a stark contrast to last week when it was pushing against resistance at $101,000.
The situation has become particularly tense as Bitcoin struggles to maintain its position within the established $91,000-$101,000 range. Rekt Capital emphasizes that a daily close above $91,000 is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. Without this confirmation, the cryptocurrency risks sliding into a lower range between $87,000 and $91,000.
Higher Timeframe Perspective for Bitcoin Price
On the quarterly timeframe, an interesting dynamic is unfolding. The $93,700 level, which previously acted as reliable support, has now transformed into resistance. However, Rekt Capital maintains an optimistic long-term outlook, suggesting that the current downside deviation is likely temporary.
For investors concerned about Bitcoin’s trajectory toward new all-time highs, Rekt Capital offers a reassuring historical perspective. Based on previous market cycles, such temporary deviations tend to be canceled out as the market progresses, with former resistance levels eventually being reclaimed as support before price discovers new highs.
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Monthly Outlook and Seasonal Patterns for Bitcoin
The monthly chart reveals additional complexity, with both $93,700 and $96,500 currently serving as resistance levels. However, Rekt Capital notes that the monthly candle still has several weeks remaining before closing, leaving room for potential trend reversals.
In a recent update shared on social media, Rekt Capital highlighted that while Bitcoin has shown signs of reclaiming $91,000 as support, the daily close remains paramount. “This just shows that lots can still change throughout the day and that the upcoming Daily Close will be quite important in dictating the next move,” the analyst stated.
When Could BTC Price Recover?
An interesting seasonal pattern emerges when examining Bitcoin’s historical performance. January has typically been a challenging month for Bitcoin, often showing bearish tendencies. However, Rekt Capital points out that February traditionally marks a turning point where market momentum picks up.
This seasonal analysis suggests that while current pressure on support levels may continue through January, there’s historical precedent for a stronger market performance as we move into February. The higher timeframe levels currently being tested are likely to be reclaimed as support in the coming weeks, potentially setting the stage for Bitcoin’s next leg up toward the anticipated $100,000 milestone.
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